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How many copies did Care sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
from 74 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Care and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Care's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 183k–359k
best case 409k (Escape Room - Der kranke Kollege)
Games like Care

A typical game among these

≈ 183k–359k copies

≈ $603k–$1.6M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Escape Room - Der kranke Kollege at ≈ 312k–507k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 497 reviews in their first month; the range was 75 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (7 of 8) and Puzzle (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Puzzle.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Killer Frequency
2023
Est. copies
≈ 155k–251k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureHorror
Amnesia: A Machine for Pigs
2013
Est. copies
≈ 770k–1.3M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Mixed
Puzzle Agent
2010
Est. copies
≈ 180k–292k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$247k–$663k after Steam's cut $448k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleAdventure
Dear Esther: Landmark Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 261k–424k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$717k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Mostly Positive
Walking SimulatorExploration
Amanda the Adventurer
2023
Est. copies
≈ 181k–294k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$447k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $813k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$8.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFirst-Person
Escape Room - Der kranke Kollege
2020
Est. copies
≈ 312k–507k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
13k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFree to Play
Who's Lila?
2022
Est. copies
≈ 95k–154k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$313k–$843k after Steam's cut $570k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$11.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
The Excavation of Hob's Barrow
2022
Est. copies
≈ 83k–134k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$341k–$916k after Steam's cut $619k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickAdventure

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