How much revenue did Fledgling Manor make?

$14k–$36k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Fledgling Manor sell?

Q: How many copies did Fledgling Manor sell?

4k to 7k copies, based on its 169 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4k–7k; $14k–$36k after Steam's cut $25k–$56k before Steam's cut; from 169 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fledgling Manor and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fledgling Manor's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 26k–1.4M

best case 1.3M (The Coffin of Andy and Leyley)

Games like Fledgling Manor

A typical game among these

≈ 26k–1.4M copies

≈ $149k–$14.5M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Coffin of Andy and Leyley at ≈ 982k–1.6M copies, ≈ $3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 95 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 5k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Anime (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Psychological + Dark Comedy, priced around $12.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Danganronpa V3: Killing Harmony 2017	Est. copies ≈ 806k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	23k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelDetective
The Coffin of Andy and Leyley 2023	Est. copies ≈ 982k–1.6M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before Steam's cut	$11.99	40k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PsychologicalDark Comedy
Monster Prom 2018	Est. copies ≈ 436k–708k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut	$11.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Dating SimComedy
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	39k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeVisual Novel
Danganronpa 2: Goodbye Despair 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.2M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.5M–$20.3M after Steam's cut $13.7M–$31.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	33k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeDetective
Vampire Therapist 2024	Est. copies ≈ 25k–41k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $104k–$279k after Steam's cut $189k–$430k before Steam's cut	$14.99	1k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelDark Comedy
Haunted Girls 2022	Est. copies ≈ 372–605 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $510–$1k after Steam's cut $928–$2k before Steam's cut	$4.99	15 reviews Mixed	AdventureVisual Novel
First Bite 2022	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $11k–$30k after Steam's cut $21k–$47k before Steam's cut	$9.99	166 reviews Very Positive	Visual Novel Simulation