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How many copies did CATRUN sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 298–484
$81–$218 after Steam's cut $148–$335 before Steam's cut
from 12 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid CATRUN and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including CATRUN's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–4k
best case 72k (Super Meat Boy Forever)
Games like CATRUN

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–4k copies

≈ $2k–$5k after Steam's cut

from ~79 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Super Meat Boy Forever at ≈ 55k–89k copies, ≈ $75k–$201k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 26 reviews in their first month; the range was 7 to 435.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Precision Platformer (8 of 8) and 2D Platformer (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Runner, priced around $3. The breakout hits carry Difficult + Puzzle-Platformer + Puzzle; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Deletion
2015
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
$1.99
228 reviews
Mostly Positive
Precision PlatformerSide Scroller
Nary
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$1.99
93 reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerAction Roguelike
Super Meat Boy Forever
2022
Est. copies
≈ 55k–89k
28x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$75k–$201k after Steam's cut $136k–$309k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Mixed
IndieAction
Gravity
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
81 reviews
Very Positive
CasualRacing
AFTERGRINDER
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3k–6k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$2.99
100 reviews
Mostly Positive
Precision PlatformerScore Attack
Hunter Girls
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$4.99
77 reviews
Mixed
Jumping Cat
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$2.99
61 reviews
Mostly Positive
Magical Girl Dash
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$405–$1k after Steam's cut $737–$2k before Steam's cut
$0.99
60 reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.