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How many copies did Jumping Cat sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 61 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Jumping Cat and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Jumping Cat's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 706k–3.9M
best case 47.6M (Geometry Dash)
Games like Jumping Cat

A typical game among these

≈ 706k–3.9M copies

≈ $2.4M–$32.4M after Steam's cut

from ~27k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 36.2M–58.9M copies, ≈ $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (6 of 8) and Precision Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Music + Level Editor, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Geometry Dash
2014
Est. copies
≈ 36.2M–58.9M
24x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut
$4.99
647k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultMusic
Ultimate Chicken Horse
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
54k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerParty
VVVVVV
2010
Est. copies
≈ 667k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$916k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsPrecision Platformer
Friends vs Friends
2023
Est. copies
≈ 369k–600k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
Card GameAction
Super Meat Boy
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut $18.6M–$42.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Thomas Was Alone
2012
Est. copies
≈ 594k–965k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerNarration
Neon Beats
2019
Est. copies
≈ 189k–308k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayRhythm

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