How much revenue did Worms W.M.D make?

$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Worms W.M.D sell?

Q: How many copies did Worms W.M.D sell?

623k to 1.0M copies, based on its 15k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 623k–1.0M; $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut; from 15k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Worms W.M.D and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Worms W.M.D's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 41.9M–62.9M

best case 820.1M (Counter-Strike 2)

Games like Worms W.M.D

A typical game among these

≈ 41.9M–62.9M copies

≈ $166.4M–$260.9M after Steam's cut

from ~731k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is FPS (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Counter-Strike 2 at ≈ 624.8M–1015.3M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share FPS (4 of 8) and Co-op (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Shooter + FPS. The breakout hits carry Shooter + Action + FPS; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2017, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 43 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 3.8x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Counter-Strike 2 2012	Est. copies ≈ 624.8M–1015.3M 14x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	9.9M reviews Very Positive	FPSShooter
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege 2015	Est. copies ≈ 76.0M–123.4M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	1.6M reviews Very Positive	FPSPvP
Don't Starve Together 2016	Est. copies ≈ 22.6M–36.8M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $93.2M–$250.7M after Steam's cut $169.5M–$385.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	544k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Portal 2 2011	Est. copies ≈ 29.5M–48.0M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	467k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Platformer Puzzle
Dead by Daylight 2016	Est. copies ≈ 39.0M–63.3M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $214.2M–$575.9M after Steam's cut $389.4M–$886.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	937k reviews Mostly Positive	HorrorMultiplayer
War Thunder 2013	Est. copies ≈ 49.7M–80.7M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	786k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlaySimulation
PAYDAY 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	675k reviews Very Positive	Co-opAction