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How many copies did Lord of the Rings: War in the North sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 605k–984k
from 10k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lord of the Rings: War in the North and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lord of the Rings: War in the North's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 29.0M–74.5M
best case 133.2M (Grand Theft Auto V Legacy)
Games like Lord of the Rings: War in the North

A typical game among these

≈ 29.0M–74.5M copies

≈ $218.8M–$451.0M after Steam's cut

from ~728k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto V Legacy at ≈ 101.5M–164.9M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Survival (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Crime.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Grand Theft Auto V Legacy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 101.5M–164.9M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.1M reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Terraria
2011
Est. copies
≈ 98.5M–160.1M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$270.6M–$727.5M after Steam's cut $492.0M–$1119.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.6M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSandbox
Warframe
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.9M–69.7M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
678k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAction RPG
ELDEN RING
2022
Est. copies
≈ 28.7M–46.6M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$473.6M–$1273.3M after Steam's cut $861.1M–$1959.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
1.2M reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeOpen World
ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.8M–43.5M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
779k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Valheim
2026
Est. copies
≈ 13.9M–22.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.9M–$308.9M after Steam's cut $208.9M–$475.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
562k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Dying Light
2015
Est. copies
≈ 24.2M–39.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut $302.5M–$688.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
496k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
Monster Hunter: World
2018
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$129.9M–$349.3M after Steam's cut $236.2M–$537.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
518k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opMultiplayer

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