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How many copies did Masters of the Air sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$14–$36 after Steam's cut $25–$56 before Steam's cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Masters of the Air and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Masters of the Air's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 65k–362k
best case 362k (Nuclear Option)
Games like Masters of the Air

A typical game among these

≈ 65k–362k copies

≈ $1.6M–$8.5M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Nuclear Option at ≈ 276k–448k copies, ≈ $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 545 reviews in their first month; the range was 318 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Flight (8 of 8) and Military (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Flight + Simulation, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Falcon 4.0
2016
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$52k–$141k after Steam's cut $95k–$217k before Steam's cut
$14.99
306 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFlight
Iron Conflict
2021
Est. copies
≈ 49k–80k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mixed
Early AccessMultiplayer
WWII Online
2023
Est. copies
≈ 94k–153k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Mixed
FlightFPS
Nuclear Option
2023
Est. copies
≈ 276k–448k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessFlight
Fleet Command
2006
Est. copies
≈ 30k–49k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$83k–$224k after Steam's cut $152k–$345k before Steam's cut
$9.99
480 reviews
Very Positive
WargameRTS
IL-2 Sturmovik: Battle of Stalingrad
2014
Est. copies
≈ 559k–909k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.8M before Steam's cut
$49.99
10k reviews
Mostly Positive
FlightRealistic
Combat Air Patrol 2: Military Flight Simulator
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15k–25k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$126k–$339k after Steam's cut $229k–$521k before Steam's cut
$29.99
367 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessFlight
Tiny Combat Arena
2022
Est. copies
≈ 39k–64k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$216k–$581k after Steam's cut $393k–$893k before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessSimulation

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