How much revenue did Falcon 4.0 make?

$52k–$141k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Falcon 4.0 sell?

Q: How many copies did Falcon 4.0 sell?

13k to 21k copies, based on its 306 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 13k–21k; $52k–$141k after Steam's cut $95k–$217k before Steam's cut; from 306 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Falcon 4.0 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Falcon 4.0's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 257k–1.2M

best case 3.4M (DCS World Steam Edition)

Games like Falcon 4.0

A typical game among these

≈ 257k–1.2M copies

≈ $1.0M–$11.4M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: DCS World Steam Edition at ≈ 2.6M–4.2M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Flight (8 of 8) and Simulation (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Flight.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2008 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
VTOL VR 2017	Est. copies ≈ 752k–1.2M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.2M–$16.7M after Steam's cut $11.3M–$25.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	22k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FlightVR
Ace Combat Assault Horizon - Enhanced Edition 2013	Est. copies ≈ 332k–539k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	5k reviews Mixed	ActionFlight
Flyout 2023	Est. copies ≈ 57k–93k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $313k–$842k after Steam's cut $569k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	SimulationSandbox
IL-2 Sturmovik: 1946 2008	Est. copies ≈ 203k–330k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $559k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	3k reviews Very Positive	SimulationFlight
Rise of Flight United 2013	Est. copies ≈ 173k–281k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	3k reviews Mixed	SimulationFlight
DCS World Steam Edition 2013	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M 4.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	41k reviews Very Positive	SimulationFlight
Bomber Crew 2017	Est. copies ≈ 535k–869k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut	$15.99	16k reviews Very Positive	World War IISimulation
Microsoft Flight Simulator X: Steam Edition 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut $18.6M–$42.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	27k reviews Very Positive	FlightSimulation