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How many copies did 201 - The Bad Number sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 744–1k
$822–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 30 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 201 - The Bad Number and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 201 - The Bad Number's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 41k–206k
best case 428k (The Life and Suffering of Sir Brante)
Games like 201 - The Bad Number

A typical game among these

≈ 41k–206k copies

≈ $265k–$816k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Life and Suffering of Sir Brante at ≈ 326k–529k copies, ≈ $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 391 reviews in their first month; the range was 113 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Interactive Fiction (8 of 8) and Text-Based (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Choices Matter + Story Rich, priced around $20.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Est. copies
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4.1x vs typical
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The Life and Suffering of Sir Brante
2021
Est. copies
≈ 326k–529k
5.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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≈ 18k–30k
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cyberpunkdreams
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