How much revenue did Roadwarden make?

$390k–$1.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Roadwarden sell?

Q: How many copies did Roadwarden sell?

129k to 210k copies, based on its 5k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 129k–210k; $390k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $709k–$1.6M before Steam's cut; from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Roadwarden and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Roadwarden's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 221k–398k

best case 693k (Murders on the Yangtze River)

Games like Roadwarden

A typical game among these

≈ 221k–398k copies

≈ $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Murders on the Yangtze River at ≈ 528k–858k copies, ≈ $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 855 reviews in their first month; the range was 459 to 6k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Choices Matter (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Detective + Puzzle, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
PARANORMASIGHT: The Seven Mysteries of Honjo 2023	Est. copies ≈ 181k–295k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $997k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAdventure
The Life and Suffering of Sir Brante 2021	Est. copies ≈ 326k–529k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Choices MatterStory Rich
Emily is Away Too 2017	Est. copies ≈ 215k–349k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $295k–$793k after Steam's cut $536k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$4.99	6k reviews Very Positive	IndieSimulation
Citizen Sleeper 2022	Est. copies ≈ 264k–429k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	11k reviews Very Positive	RPGDice
Murders on the Yangtze River 2024	Est. copies ≈ 528k–858k 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	21k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectiveAdventure
Left on Read 2020	Est. copies ≈ 130k–211k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	5k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayRomance
Suzerain 2020	Est. copies ≈ 296k–481k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelChoose Your Own Adventure
Buddy Simulator 1984 2021	Est. copies ≈ 108k–176k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $298k–$800k after Steam's cut $541k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Psychological HorrorIndie