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How many copies did Buddy Simulator 1984 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 108k–176k
$298k–$800k after Steam's cut $541k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Buddy Simulator 1984 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Buddy Simulator 1984's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 15.7M–42.4M
best case 57.1M (Stardew Valley)
Games like Buddy Simulator 1984

A typical game among these

≈ 15.7M–42.4M copies

≈ $81.7M–$151.7M after Steam's cut

from ~558k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Stardew Valley at ≈ 43.5M–70.7M copies, ≈ $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (2 of 8) and First-Person (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Life Sim, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20.9M–33.9M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut $208.6M–$474.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
842k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Stardew Valley
2016
Est. copies
≈ 43.5M–70.7M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut $326.2M–$742.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Farming SimPixel Graphics
Undertale
2015
Est. copies
≈ 16.8M–27.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$46.0M–$123.8M after Steam's cut $83.7M–$190.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
343k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Bloons TD 6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 12.0M–19.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut $84.2M–$191.5M before Steam's cut
$13.99
396k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Fall Guys
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
468k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParty Game
People Playground
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
321k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGore
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Geometry Dash
2014
Est. copies
≈ 36.2M–58.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut
$4.99
647k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultMusic

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