How much revenue did Heaven's Vault make?

$494k–$1.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Heaven's Vault sell?

Q: How many copies did Heaven's Vault sell?

72k to 117k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 72k–117k; $494k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $899k–$2.0M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Heaven's Vault and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Heaven's Vault's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 417k–959k

best case 1.1M (SIGNALIS)

Games like Heaven's Vault

A typical game among these

≈ 417k–959k copies

≈ $2.6M–$12.8M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: SIGNALIS at ≈ 862k–1.4M copies, ≈ $4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 527 to 5k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Female Protagonist (8 of 8) and Mystery (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Life is Strange: True Colors 2021	Est. copies ≈ 419k–681k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	17k reviews Very Positive	Choices MatterStory Rich
Danganronpa V3: Killing Harmony 2017	Est. copies ≈ 806k–1.3M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	23k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelDetective
OXENFREE II: Lost Signals 2023	Est. copies ≈ 52k–84k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $284k–$762k after Steam's cut $516k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	ThrillerSupernatural
A Case of Distrust 2018	Est. copies ≈ 19k–30k too small to compare SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $77k–$207k after Steam's cut $140k–$318k before Steam's cut	$14.99	614 reviews Very Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureInteractive Fiction
Buy a Croquette! 2024	Est. copies ≈ 214k–348k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGMakerMystery
SIGNALIS 2022	Est. copies ≈ 862k–1.4M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	35k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Survival Horror Psychological Horror
Oxenfree 2016	Est. copies ≈ 504k–820k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Story RichChoices Matter
Epistory - Typing Chronicles 2016	Est. copies ≈ 284k–462k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Very Positive	TypingAdventure