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How many copies did 5 NIGHTS AT SHALUN 4: SCHOOL sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 15k–24k
$8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$33k before Steam's cut
from 595 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 5 NIGHTS AT SHALUN 4: SCHOOL and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 5 NIGHTS AT SHALUN 4: SCHOOL's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–10k
best case 490k (Idle Champions of the Forgotten Realms)
Games like 5 NIGHTS AT SHALUN 4: SCHOOL

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–10k copies

≈ $6k–$26k after Steam's cut

from ~182 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Idler (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Idle Champions of the Forgotten Realms at ≈ 374k–607k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 81 reviews in their first month; the range was 10 to 5k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Idler (4 of 8) and Puzzle (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dungeons & Dragons + Idler. The breakout hits carry Dungeons & Dragons + Free to Play + Strategy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Idle Champions of the Forgotten Realms
2020
Est. copies
≈ 374k–607k
83x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Mostly Positive
Dungeons & DragonsFree to Play
Joyville
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$24k–$64k after Steam's cut $43k–$98k before Steam's cut
$9.99
349 reviews
Mostly Positive
Adventure1980s
Истории ужасов: Воскрешение
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5k–7k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
182 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessAction
Rabbit Hole
2022
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$15k–$41k after Steam's cut $28k–$63k before Steam's cut
$7.99
279 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureAction
Mental Hospital - Child of Evil
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$5.99
66 reviews
Mixed
AdventureAction
Paint Girl
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before Steam's cut
$1.99
787 reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentHentai
Mental Hospital VR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
$9.99
66 reviews
Mixed
VRAction
3х9 Царство: Дорога приключений
2023
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$7.99
24 reviews
Positive
AdventurePoint & Click

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