Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Rabbit Hole sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–11k
$15k–$41k after Steam's cut $28k–$63k before Steam's cut
from 279 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rabbit Hole and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rabbit Hole's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.4M–3.7M
best case 37.9M (HELLDIVERS™ 2)
Games like Rabbit Hole

A typical game among these

≈ 2.4M–3.7M copies

≈ $26.3M–$63.8M after Steam's cut

from ~84k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Shooter (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: HELLDIVERS™ 2 at ≈ 28.9M–46.9M copies, ≈ $317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 32k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 251k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (4 of 8) and Co-op (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Third-Person Shooter + Online Co-Op + PvE; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ring of Elysium
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
99k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayBattle Royale
HITMAN World of Assassination
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.3M after Steam's cut $25.9M–$58.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
70k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAssassin
Resident Evil 3
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.1M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $62.9M–$143.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
127k reviews
Very Positive
ActionZombies
Sniper Elite 4
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$35.9M–$96.6M after Steam's cut $65.4M–$148.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
SniperAction
OUTRIDERS
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
61k reviews
Mixed
Looter ShooterRPG
Mafia: Definitive Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$30.4M–$81.7M after Steam's cut $55.2M–$125.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
111k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldCrime
HELLDIVERS™ 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 28.9M–46.9M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut $577.5M–$1313.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1.2M reviews
Mostly Positive
Online Co-OpPvE
Resident Evil 4
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.3M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut $139.0M–$316.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
280k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorAction

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.