How much revenue did The Shell Part III: Paradiso make?

$96k–$258k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Shell Part III: Paradiso sell?

Q: How many copies did The Shell Part III: Paradiso sell?

17k to 28k copies, based on its 703 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 17k–28k; $96k–$258k after Steam's cut $174k–$396k before Steam's cut; from 703 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Shell Part III: Paradiso and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Shell Part III: Paradiso's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 24k–187k

best case 2.0M (The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty)

Games like The Shell Part III: Paradiso

A typical game among these

≈ 24k–187k copies

≈ $164k–$1.8M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 530 reviews in their first month; the range was 51 to 13k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Detective (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Historical, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
再见断刀 2025	Est. copies ≈ 68k–111k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $188k–$505k after Steam's cut $342k–$778k before Steam's cut	$9.99	3k reviews Very Positive	AnimeStory Rich
Aviary Attorney 2015	Est. copies ≈ 111k–181k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $459k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $834k–$1.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelAdventure
The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M 35x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	60k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelHistorical
Hakuoki: Edo Blossoms 2018	Est. copies ≈ 34k–55k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $93k–$251k after Steam's cut $169k–$386k before Steam's cut	$9.99	1k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	OtomeVisual Novel
The Great Ace Attorney Chronicles 2021	Est. copies ≈ 237k–385k 5.6x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	10k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelAdventure
Misericorde: Volume One 2023	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$142k before Steam's cut	$8.99	559 reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAdventure
A Case of Distrust 2018	Est. copies ≈ 19k–30k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $77k–$207k after Steam's cut $140k–$318k before Steam's cut	$14.99	614 reviews Very Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureInteractive Fiction
The Shell Part II: Purgatorio 2024	Est. copies ≈ 17k–28k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $119k–$320k after Steam's cut $216k–$492k before Steam's cut	$24.99	698 reviews Very Positive	DetectiveVisual Novel