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How many copies did Witch Stories sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 322–524
$442–$1k after Steam's cut $803–$2k before Steam's cut
from 13 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Witch Stories and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Witch Stories's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–4k
best case 12k (Tower of Mask)
Games like Witch Stories

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–4k copies

≈ $1k–$7k after Steam's cut

from ~62 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is FPS (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Tower of Mask at ≈ 9k–15k copies, ≈ $28k–$77k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 19 reviews in their first month; the range was 7 to 121.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (4 of 8) and Action-Adventure (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival Horror + Dungeon Crawler, priced around $11.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Tower of Mask
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$28k–$77k after Steam's cut $52k–$118k before Steam's cut
$10.99
380 reviews
Very Positive
PARKAN: THE IMPERIAL CHRONICLES
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$2.99
61 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureRPG
Grandfather Simulator
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$624–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$1.99
46 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualRPG
Blue Horizon
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
74 reviews
Mixed
CRPGExploration
Parkan: Iron Strategy
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$850–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$2.99
34 reviews
Positive
ActionSimulation
Krakatoa
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$419–$1k after Steam's cut $761–$2k before Steam's cut
$0.99
62 reviews
Mixed
Survival HorrorAction-Adventure
已下架
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
166 reviews
Mixed
Action RPGWorld War II
Simantik
2023
Est. copies
≈ 521–846
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$29.99
21 reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalSteampunk

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