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How many copies did Grandfather Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$624–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 46 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Grandfather Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Grandfather Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.5M–6.2M
best case 57.1M (Stardew Valley)
Games like Grandfather Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 4.5M–6.2M copies

≈ $31.1M–$41.8M after Steam's cut

from ~77k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Stardew Valley at ≈ 43.5M–70.7M copies, ≈ $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Management (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Driving + Transportation, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Relaxing + Moddable + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Euro Truck Simulator 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 59.7M–97.0M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut $596.4M–$1356.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
944k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DrivingTransportation
Stardew Valley
2016
Est. copies
≈ 43.5M–70.7M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut $326.2M–$742.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Farming SimPixel Graphics
Cities: Skylines
2015
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$117.2M–$315.2M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
291k reviews
Very Positive
FTL: Faster Than Light
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
79k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeSpace
SPORE™
2008
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$68.0M after Steam's cut $46.0M–$104.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
73k reviews
Very Positive
God GameOpen World
DAVE THE DIVER
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
163k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsCasual
Tabletop Simulator
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut $36.4M–$82.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
75k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
TabletopBoard Game
Fallout Shelter
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
83k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayBase-Building

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