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How many copies did Krakatoa sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k
$419–$1k after Steam's cut $761–$2k before Steam's cut
from 62 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Krakatoa and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Krakatoa's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 224k–2.0M
best case 9.1M (Resident Evil 4)
Games like Krakatoa

A typical game among these

≈ 224k–2.0M copies

≈ $2.6M–$45.6M after Steam's cut

from ~26k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Resident Evil 4 at ≈ 7.0M–11.3M copies, ≈ $76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the range was 427 to 68k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (7 of 8) and Survival Horror (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Survival Horror, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Resident Evil 4
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.3M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut $139.0M–$316.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
280k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorAction
Bramble: The Mountain King
2023
Est. copies
≈ 197k–321k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAdventure
Ghost Watchers
2025
Est. copies
≈ 405k–658k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
SIGNALIS
2022
Est. copies
≈ 862k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
The Last of Us™ Part I
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$45.1M–$121.3M after Steam's cut $82.0M–$186.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
110k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichPost-apocalyptic
The Callisto Protocol™
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.9M–$48.1M after Steam's cut $32.5M–$74.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
44k reviews
Mixed
HorrorSci-fi
SONG OF HORROR COMPLETE EDITION
2019
Est. copies
≈ 89k–145k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$734k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
El Paso, Elsewhere
2023
Est. copies
≈ 37k–60k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$203k–$545k after Steam's cut $368k–$838k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Bullet TimeThird-Person Shooter

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