Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Only Out sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
from 52 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Only Out and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Only Out's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 391–15k
best case 1.2M (POLYGON)
Games like Only Out

A typical game among these

≈ 391–15k copies

≈ $2k–$59k after Steam's cut

from ~59 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: POLYGON at ≈ 918k–1.5M copies.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 75 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Battle Royale (5 of 8) and Card Battler (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition
2022
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
8.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$68k–$183k after Steam's cut $124k–$281k before Steam's cut
$19.99
499 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessStrategy
惊险极速
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
$6.99
97 reviews
Very Positive
MOBAPvP
Number One Rich
2020
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$817–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$5.99
20 reviews
Mostly Negative
Auto BattlerTabletop
Zoo Tales
2022
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$819–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$9.99
12 reviews
Mixed
Tactical RPG3D Platformer
Stream Battlecards
2020
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$819–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$9.99
12 reviews
Positive
Video ProductionCard Battler
Stellar Warfare
2021
Est. copies
≈ 11k–17k
7.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$59k–$159k after Steam's cut $108k–$245k before Steam's cut
$19.99
434 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessIndie
Snake Effect
2023
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$138–$368 after Steam's cut $250–$566 before Steam's cut
$9.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
CasualAction
POLYGON
2020
Est. copies
≈ 918k–1.5M
633x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayFPS

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.