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How many copies did The Three Kingdoms: The Tales of Jian An sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 22k–36k
$109k–$293k after Steam's cut $198k–$451k before Steam's cut
from 889 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Three Kingdoms: The Tales of Jian An and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Three Kingdoms: The Tales of Jian An's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 923k–1.5M
best case 9.3M (Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition)
Games like The Three Kingdoms: The Tales of Jian An

A typical game among these

≈ 923k–1.5M copies

≈ $9.2M–$17.7M after Steam's cut

from ~32k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition at ≈ 7.1M–11.5M copies, ≈ $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 17k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Character Customization (5 of 8) and Turn-Based Combat (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tactical RPG + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $45. The breakout hits carry Exploration + Tactical RPG + Story Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
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≈ 7.1M–11.5M
6.4x vs typical
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SuperheroTurn-Based Tactics
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≈ 1.2M–2.0M
1.5x vs typical
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≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Solasta: Crown of the Magister
2021
Est. copies
≈ 560k–910k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.1M before Steam's cut
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Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous - Enhanced Edition
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≈ 1.1M–1.8M
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Very Positive
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Minion Masters
2019
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≈ 1.9M–3.1M
2.0x vs typical
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PvETrading Card Game

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