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How many copies did Cake Space Shooter sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 496–806
$135–$363 after Steam's cut $246–$559 before Steam's cut
from 20 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cake Space Shooter and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cake Space Shooter's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 478k–670k
best case 1.6M (Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor)
Games like Cake Space Shooter

A typical game among these

≈ 478k–670k copies

≈ $3.3M–$4.7M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies, ≈ $4.3M–$11.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 679 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 41k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Bullet Hell (7 of 8) and Arena Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dwarf + Action Roguelike, priced around $13.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rabi-Ribi
2016
Est. copies
≈ 511k–830k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before Steam's cut
$17.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeMetroidvania
Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.6M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.8M before Steam's cut
$12.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
DwarfAction Roguelike
Touhou Luna Nights
2019
Est. copies
≈ 432k–701k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$17.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MetroidvaniaDifficult
PickaLegend
2024
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$300–$804 after Steam's cut $545–$1k before Steam's cut
$3.99
11 reviews
Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
Nova Drift
2024
Est. copies
≈ 364k–592k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeArena Shooter
Patch Quest
2023
Est. copies
≈ 69k–113k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$286k–$768k after Steam's cut $519k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureCreature Collector
Carebotz
2021
Est. copies
≈ 992–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$543–$1k after Steam's cut $987–$2k before Steam's cut
$1.99
40 reviews
Mostly Positive
Shoot 'Em UpMetroidvania
Nucleuz Underground
2024
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$204–$550 after Steam's cut $370–$846 before Steam's cut
$9.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
ActionAction-Adventure

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.