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How many copies did Disney Bolt sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–20k
from 250 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Disney Bolt and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Disney Bolt's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–9k
best case 251k (Assassin’s Creed® Chronicles: China)
Games like Disney Bolt

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–9k copies

≈ $2k–$12k after Steam's cut

from ~70 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Assassin’s Creed® Chronicles: China at ≈ 191k–310k copies, ≈ $524k–$1.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 10 reviews in their first month; the range was 8 to 140.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Female Protagonist (6 of 8) and Stealth (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Assassin + Stealth, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry 2.5D + Parkour + Side Scroller; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 818–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut
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Mixed
HorrorAction
Assassin’s Creed® Chronicles: China
2015
Est. copies
≈ 191k–310k
56x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$524k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $954k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
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AssassinStealth
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4.8x vs typical
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$46k–$124k after Steam's cut $84k–$190k before Steam's cut
$19.99
337 reviews
Very Positive
Stealth3D Platformer
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≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
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$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
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70 reviews
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Metroidvania3D Platformer
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≈ 5k–7k
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Free
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Cat Burglar: A Tail of Purrsuit
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≈ 11k–19k
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StealthIndie
Pretty Agent
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≈ 967–2k
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$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
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RPGAction
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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.