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How many copies did Dice With Death sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 21k–34k
$80k–$215k after Steam's cut $146k–$331k before Steam's cut
from 839 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dice With Death and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dice With Death's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 24k–439k
best case 6.5M (Balatro)
Games like Dice With Death

A typical game among these

≈ 24k–439k copies

≈ $87k–$2.7M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Deckbuilding (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Balatro at ≈ 5.0M–8.1M copies, ≈ $20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 95 to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Deckbuilding (4 of 8) and Rogue-like (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ballionaire
2024
Est. copies
≈ 67k–108k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$226k–$608k after Steam's cut $411k–$936k before Steam's cut
$12.34
3k reviews
Very Positive
Singleplayer2D
觅长生
2023
Est. copies
≈ 797k–1.3M
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
Niche - a genetics survival game
2017
Est. copies
≈ 180k–293k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$891k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$17.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based StrategyAdventure
Balatro
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
91x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
200k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dice Player One
2024
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$54k–$144k after Steam's cut $98k–$222k before Steam's cut
$14.99
525 reviews
Very Positive
Roguelike DeckbuilderReplay Value
挂机神话
2023
Est. copies
≈ 43k–70k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$24k–$63k after Steam's cut $43k–$97k before Steam's cut
$1.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
IdlerCasual
Pirates Outlaws
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$108k–$289k after Steam's cut $196k–$445k before Steam's cut
$19.99
789 reviews
Very Positive
LuckLand
2023
Est. copies
≈ 11k–19k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$28k–$76k after Steam's cut $51k–$117k before Steam's cut
$8.99
461 reviews
Very Positive

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