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How many copies did Pirates Outlaws sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 20k–32k
$108k–$289k after Steam's cut $196k–$445k before Steam's cut
from 789 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pirates Outlaws and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pirates Outlaws's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 348k–2.7M
best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)
Games like Pirates Outlaws

A typical game among these

≈ 348k–2.7M copies

≈ $2.5M–$14.9M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 49 to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (6 of 8) and Deckbuilding (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 570k–927k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
ROUNDS
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.6M before Steam's cut
$5.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerFighting
Chrono Ark
2024
Est. copies
≈ 342k–555k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.3M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
220k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Balatro
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
200k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Griftlands
2021
Est. copies
≈ 359k–584k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
CosmoPirates
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut
$11.99
69 reviews
Very Positive
Overfall
2016
Est. copies
≈ 37k–60k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$50k–$135k after Steam's cut $91k–$208k before Steam's cut
$4.99
881 reviews
Mixed
Strategy RPGExploration

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