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How many copies did Overfall sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 35k–57k
$48k–$130k after Steam's cut $88k–$200k before the cut
from 881 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Overfall out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Overfall's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 88k–298k
best case 27.1M (The Forest)

7 of your 8 similar games are hits. A healthy genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 88k–298k copies
≈ $745k–$1.9M after Steam's cut
from ~6k reviews
Best case
≈ 20.6M–33.5M copies
The Forest · ≈ $113.4M–$304.8M after Steam's cut
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Survival (5 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Horror + Crafting; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2024, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

Pretend
2021
Est. copies
≈ 32k–52k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Mixed
Early AccessCasual
Eternal Edge +
2022
Est. copies
≈ 19k–30k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$77k–$207k after Steam's cut $140k–$318k before the cut
$14.99
778 reviews
Mixed
Action RPGExploration
Home Behind
2016
Est. copies
≈ 245k–399k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$404k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $735k–$1.7M before the cut
$5.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureRPG
The Matchless Kungfu
2024
Est. copies
≈ 188k–306k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before the cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldMartial Arts
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.6M–33.5M
111x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$113.4M–$304.8M after Steam's cut $206.1M–$468.9M before the cut
$19.99
678k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Book of Yog Idle RPG
2022
Est. copies
≈ 209k–340k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9k reviews
Mixed
AdventureMassively Multiplayer
Caves of Qud
2024
Est. copies
≈ 299k–486k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before the cut
$29.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Procedural GenerationTurn-Based Combat
Curious Expedition 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 102k–166k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$563k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before the cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureSimulation

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