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How many copies did Curious Expedition 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 103k–167k
$566k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Curious Expedition 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Curious Expedition 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 32k–87k
best case 246k (Curious Expedition)
Games like Curious Expedition 2

A typical game among these

≈ 32k–87k copies

≈ $66k–$521k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Rogue-like (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Curious Expedition at ≈ 188k–305k copies, ≈ $774k–$2.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 275 reviews in their first month; the range was 59 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-like (3 of 8) and Choices Matter (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Exploration + Rogue-like, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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2.1x vs typical
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ExplorationRogue-like
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[Chilla's Art] Missing Children | 行方不明
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IndieCasual
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SteamSpy under 20k
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≈ 64k–105k
1.7x vs typical
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Time TravelTime Manipulation
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Mixed
CinematicChoices Matter

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.