How much revenue did Curious Expedition make?

$774k–$2.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Curious Expedition sell?

Q: How many copies did Curious Expedition sell?

188k to 305k copies, based on its 5k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 188k–305k; $774k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut; from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Curious Expedition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Curious Expedition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 843k–1.0M

best case 5.3M (DAVE THE DIVER)

Games like Curious Expedition

A typical game among these

≈ 843k–1.0M copies

≈ $5.3M–$8.6M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Rogue-like (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: DAVE THE DIVER at ≈ 4.0M–6.6M copies, ≈ $22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 19k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 43k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Rogue-like (4 of 8) and Management (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Management + Exploration, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Casual + Relaxing + Fishing; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Dwarf Fortress 2022	Est. copies ≈ 783k–1.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.5M–$17.4M after Steam's cut $11.7M–$26.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	32k reviews Very Positive	DwarfColony Sim
Kingdom: New Lands 2016	Est. copies ≈ 516k–839k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut	$14.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Tower Defense Survival
DAVE THE DIVER 2023	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M 7.2x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	163k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsCasual
Dome Keeper 2022	Est. copies ≈ 558k–906k SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut	$17.99	22k reviews Very Positive	SingleplayerPost-apocalyptic
Necesse 2025	Est. copies ≈ 727k–1.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	29k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftMultiplayer
Hyper Light Drifter 2016	Est. copies ≈ 799k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut $8.0M–$18.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	19k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsGreat Soundtrack
Rogue Legacy 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before Steam's cut	$14.99	19k reviews Very Positive	RoguevaniaPlatformer
Moonlighter 2018	Est. copies ≈ 747k–1.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	25k reviews Very Positive	Hack and SlashPixel Graphics