How much revenue did CHANGE: A Homeless Survival Experience make?

$391k–$1.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did CHANGE: A Homeless Survival Experience sell?

Q: How many copies did CHANGE: A Homeless Survival Experience sell?

71k to 116k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 71k–116k; $391k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $711k–$1.6M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid CHANGE: A Homeless Survival Experience and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including CHANGE: A Homeless Survival Experience's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–1.3M

best case 1.4M (Metaphor: ReFantazio)

Games like CHANGE: A Homeless Survival Experience

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–1.3M copies

≈ $9.0M–$24.7M after Steam's cut

from ~37k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Metaphor: ReFantazio at ≈ 1.1M–1.7M copies, ≈ $20.7M–$55.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 15 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 17k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Time Management (6 of 8) and Rogue-lite (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with JRPG + Turn-Based Combat, priced around $70.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Loop Hero 2021	Est. copies ≈ 907k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	37k reviews Very Positive	TacticalRogue-like
General Horse and the Package of Doom 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut	$9.99	78 reviews Very Positive	ComedyChoose Your Own Adventure
Somnium Eleven 2025	Est. copies ≈ 124–202 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $681–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$19.99	5 reviews 5 user reviews	SimulationDating Sim
Restaurant at the end of time 2024	Est. copies ≈ 248–403 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $545–$1k after Steam's cut $991–$2k before Steam's cut	$7.99	10 reviews Positive	Time ManagementReal Time Tactics
Apotheker 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut	$4.99	49 reviews Positive	CasualPuzzle
Tales From The Arcade: Starship Murder 2023	Est. copies ≈ 794–1k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $653–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$2.99	32 reviews Positive	Interactive FictionRogue-lite
Sultan's Game 2025	Est. copies ≈ 876k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	35k reviews Very Positive	RPGSimulation
Metaphor: ReFantazio 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $20.7M–$55.7M after Steam's cut $37.7M–$85.7M before Steam's cut	$69.99	43k reviews Very Positive	RPGJRPG