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How many copies did Fort Defense sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 21k–34k
$85k–$229k after Steam's cut $155k–$353k before Steam's cut
from 424 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fort Defense and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fort Defense's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 82–3k
best case 15.8M (Bloons TD 6)
Games like Fort Defense

A typical game among these

≈ 82–3k copies

≈ $690–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~13 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Bloons TD 6 at ≈ 12.0M–19.6M copies, ≈ $46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 11 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tower Defense (7 of 8) and Arcade (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense + Co-op, priced around $14. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Online Co-Op + Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Bloons TD 6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 12.0M–19.6M
30447x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut $84.2M–$191.5M before Steam's cut
$13.99
396k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Zombie Pirates
2011
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut
$9.99
63 reviews
Mixed
CasualPirates
Seacurity Breach
2019
Est. copies
≈ 374–608
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$9.99
13 reviews
Mixed
StrategyIndie
Pirates of Everseas
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
133 reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayStrategy
Magic Archers
2020
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2 reviews
2 user reviews
SingleplayerCasual
Build Em' Faster
2021
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$110 after Steam's cut $74–$169 before Steam's cut
$1.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
ActionCasual
Chest Mate
2022
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$442–$1k after Steam's cut $803–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
13 reviews
Positive
Capers vs Pirates
2024
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$378–$1k after Steam's cut $687–$2k before Steam's cut
$54.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews

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