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How many copies did Chest Mate sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 322–524
$442–$1k after Steam's cut $803–$2k before Steam's cut
from 13 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Chest Mate and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Chest Mate's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 120k–192k
best case 13.0M (Plants vs. Zombies GOTY Edition)
Games like Chest Mate

A typical game among these

≈ 120k–192k copies

≈ $259k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Plants vs. Zombies GOTY Edition at ≈ 9.9M–16.1M copies, ≈ $13.6M–$36.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 37 reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 2k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tower Defense (8 of 8) and Puzzle (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense + Zombies, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Classic + Great Soundtrack + Zombies; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2015
Est. copies
≈ 215k–350k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$592k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Progressbar95
2020
Est. copies
≈ 91k–148k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$125k–$337k after Steam's cut $228k–$519k before Steam's cut
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CasualArcade
Plants vs. Zombies GOTY Edition
2009
Est. copies
≈ 9.9M–16.1M
42x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.6M–$36.5M after Steam's cut $24.7M–$56.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
156k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseZombies
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2017
Est. copies
≈ 128k–208k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$140k–$377k after Steam's cut $255k–$580k before Steam's cut
$3.99
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ZombiesTop-Down Shooter
wonShot
2020
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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$0.99
29 reviews
Positive
Shoot 'Em UpTop-Down Shooter
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2022
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut
$39.99
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Match 3Casual
Cluckmech Oasis
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Est. copies
≈ 90k–147k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$248k–$666k after Steam's cut $450k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
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Very Positive
StrategyRogue-like
X-Morph: Defense
2017
Est. copies
≈ 146k–237k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$803k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy

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