How much revenue did The Armed Shadow make?

$2k–$5k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Armed Shadow sell?

Q: How many copies did The Armed Shadow sell?

670 to 1k copies, based on its 27 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 670–1k; $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut; from 27 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Armed Shadow and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Armed Shadow's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 728k–1.2M

best case 3.9M (Broforce)

Games like The Armed Shadow

A typical game among these

≈ 728k–1.2M copies

≈ $6.6M–$9.4M after Steam's cut

from ~24k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Platformer (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Broforce at ≈ 3.0M–4.8M copies, ≈ $12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 8k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Platformer (4 of 8) and Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with America + Co-op, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry America + Co-op + Local Co-Op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Duck Game 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.8M–$18.3M after Steam's cut $12.4M–$28.2M before Steam's cut	$12.99	39k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MultiplayerFunny
Neon Abyss 2020	Est. copies ≈ 586k–952k SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.6M after Steam's cut $9.2M–$21.0M before Steam's cut	$31.49	24k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-like Platformer
Broforce 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut	$14.99	61k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AmericaAction
My Friend Pedro 2019	Est. copies ≈ 821k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.5M–$12.1M after Steam's cut $8.2M–$18.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	28k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ActionIndie
BRAIN / OUT 2017	Est. copies ≈ 524k–851k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	15k reviews Very Positive	Free to Play2D
Neon White 2022	Est. copies ≈ 518k–842k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.6M–$9.6M after Steam's cut $6.5M–$14.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	21k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPS3D Platformer
Crab Champions 2023	Est. copies ≈ 774k–1.3M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut	$9.99	31k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Early AccessAction Roguelike
The Expendabros 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	18k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayAction