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How many copies did Mini Merchant sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 322–524
$530–$1k after Steam's cut $964–$2k before Steam's cut
from 13 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mini Merchant and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mini Merchant's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.9M–9.9M
best case 12.4M (Human Fall Flat)
Games like Mini Merchant

A typical game among these

≈ 5.9M–9.9M copies

≈ $54.0M–$76.2M after Steam's cut

from ~225k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Human Fall Flat at ≈ 9.5M–15.4M copies, ≈ $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 57 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 208k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (6 of 8) and Sandbox (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Puzzle, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Teardown
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.9M–$75.0M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
136k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DestructionPhysics
Dimensional Warrior
2024
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$667–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$6.99
14 reviews
Positive
CasualBoard Game
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
225k reviews
Mixed
ManagementSingleplayer
Human Fall Flat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.5M–15.4M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
227k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opFunny
World of Haiku
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
146 reviews
Mostly Positive
HackingRPG
Floating Life2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 18k–28k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$96k–$259k after Steam's cut $175k–$398k before Steam's cut
$19.99
706 reviews
Mixed
Turn-Based CombatRPG
The Infernal Return
2022
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$204–$551 after Steam's cut $371–$847 before Steam's cut
$5.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
Exploration3D Platformer
EscapeVr
2020
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$825–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$3k before Steam's cut
$10.99
11 reviews
Mixed
Escape RoomPuzzle

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