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How many copies did Lone Wolf sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 347–564
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
from 14 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lone Wolf and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lone Wolf's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 69k–87k
best case 150k (Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Splintered Fate)
Games like Lone Wolf

A typical game among these

≈ 69k–87k copies

≈ $453k–$912k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Splintered Fate at ≈ 114k–186k copies, ≈ $944k–$2.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 464 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Hack and Slash (5 of 8) and Metroidvania (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sandbox + Action-Adventure, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Action; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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1.7x vs typical
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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.