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How many copies did Wizard with a Gun sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 99k–160k
$678k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before the cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Wizard with a Gun out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wizard with a Gun's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 51.9M–110.7M
best case 133.0M (Grand Theft Auto V Legacy)
Games like Wizard with a Gun

The middle of these games

≈ 51.9M–110.7M copies

≈ $450.8M–$831.5M after Steam's cut

from ~1.1M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto V Legacy at ≈ 101.4M–164.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (5 of 8) and First-Person (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Crime.
The era
The games you compared span 2006 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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1.8x vs typical
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