How much revenue did Niffelheim make?

$390k–$1.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Niffelheim sell?

Q: How many copies did Niffelheim sell?

71k to 115k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 71k–115k; $390k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $710k–$1.6M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Niffelheim and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Niffelheim's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 30.9M–74.3M

best case 129.3M (Terraria)

Games like Niffelheim

A typical game among these

≈ 30.9M–74.3M copies

≈ $209.8M–$590.7M after Steam's cut

from ~1.1M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Terraria at ≈ 98.5M–160.1M copies, ≈ $270.6M–$727.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 14 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 558k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Crafting (6 of 8) and Survival (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Sandbox, priced around $10.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Valheim 2026	Est. copies ≈ 13.9M–22.6M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $114.9M–$308.9M after Steam's cut $208.9M–$475.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	562k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Terraria 2011	Est. copies ≈ 98.5M–160.1M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $270.6M–$727.5M after Steam's cut $492.0M–$1119.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	1.6M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSandbox
Halfblood: A Quest to Olympus 2025	Est. copies ≈ 124–202 too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $68–$183 after Steam's cut $123–$281 before Steam's cut	$1.99	5 reviews 5 user reviews	Early AccessAdventure
Rust 2018	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut $853.3M–$1941.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	1.4M reviews Very Positive	SurvivalCrafting
ARK: Survival Evolved 2017	Est. copies ≈ 26.8M–43.5M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	779k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Ghostlore 2023	Est. copies ≈ 19k–31k too small to compare SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $104k–$280k after Steam's cut $189k–$430k before Steam's cut	$19.99	763 reviews Very Positive	LootHack and Slash
Olympus of the Heavens 2025	Est. copies ≈ 25–40 too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $28–$73 after Steam's cut $50–$112 before Steam's cut	$3.99	1 reviews 1 user reviews	Early AccessAction
New Journey to the West 2024	Est. copies ≈ 372–605 too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$6k before Steam's cut	$12.99	15 reviews Positive	RPGAdventure