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How many copies did Boeckham's Football Manager sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
from 65 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Boeckham's Football Manager and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Boeckham's Football Manager's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 242–3k
best case 7k (Erophone:Re)
Games like Boeckham's Football Manager

A typical game among these

≈ 242–3k copies

≈ $627–$8k after Steam's cut

from ~25 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Erophone:Re at ≈ 6k–9k copies.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 130 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sports (8 of 8) and Interactive Fiction (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Interactive Fiction + Sports.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Erophone:Re
2023
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
9.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
223 reviews
Mixed
Interactive FictionSports
Transporter Truck Simulator
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$70k before Steam's cut
$24.99
86 reviews
Very Positive
RacingSports
Talk to Saki
2018
Est. copies
≈ 213–346
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$117–$313 after Steam's cut $212–$482 before Steam's cut
$1.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
Interactive FictionTyping
Football Drama
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$34k before Steam's cut
$11.99
86 reviews
Mixed
SportsIndie
VR Run
2022
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$817–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$29.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
SimulationSports
Waves Running Simulator
2022
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$517–$1k after Steam's cut $940–$2k before Steam's cut
$3.99
19 reviews
Mixed
AdventureCasual
Futtony y el Copón Mundial
2022
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$163–$439 after Steam's cut $297–$675 before Steam's cut
$5.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
SportsSimulation
Streamer Girl Simulator
2023
Est. copies
≈ 744–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$4.99
30 reviews
Mixed
AnimeLife Sim

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