How much revenue did Half-Life Deathmatch: Source make?

$970k–$2.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Half-Life Deathmatch: Source sell?

Q: How many copies did Half-Life Deathmatch: Source sell?

353k to 574k copies, based on its 6k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 353k–574k; $970k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut; from 6k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Half-Life Deathmatch: Source and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Half-Life Deathmatch: Source's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–2.5M

best case 23.2M (Half-Life 2)

Games like Half-Life Deathmatch: Source

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–2.5M copies

≈ $4.3M–$17.3M after Steam's cut

from ~26k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Half-Life 2 at ≈ 17.7M–28.8M copies, ≈ $48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share FPS (8 of 8) and Sci-fi (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS + Sci-fi, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Story Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 1999 to 2014, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 70 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Half-Life 2: Episode Two 2007	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	41k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSAction
Half-Life 2: Deathmatch 2004	Est. copies ≈ 972k–1.6M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	15k reviews Very Positive	ActionFPS
Half-Life 2 2004	Est. copies ≈ 17.7M–28.8M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut $88.4M–$201.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	280k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSAction
Half-Life: Blue Shift 2001	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.6M before Steam's cut	$4.99	21k reviews Very Positive	FPSAction
Half-Life: Opposing Force 1999	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before Steam's cut	$4.99	29k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSAction
Half-Life 2: Episode One 2006	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	31k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSAction
Call of Duty®: Advanced Warfare - Gold Edition 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $15.8M–$42.4M after Steam's cut $28.7M–$65.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	26k reviews Mixed	DogFPS
Crysis 2 - Maximum Edition 2011	Est. copies ≈ 877k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.2M–$19.5M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$29.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	14k reviews Very Positive	ActionFPS