How much revenue did Thea: The Awakening make?

$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Thea: The Awakening sell?

Q: How many copies did Thea: The Awakening sell?

184k to 300k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 184k–300k; $1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.2M before Steam's cut; from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Thea: The Awakening and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Thea: The Awakening's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 353k–880k

best case 27.3M (The Forest)

Games like Thea: The Awakening

A typical game among these

≈ 353k–880k copies

≈ $2.0M–$13.5M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Turn-Based (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Turn-Based (4 of 8) and Post-apocalyptic (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Horror + Building; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 84x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Niche - a genetics survival game 2017	Est. copies ≈ 180k–293k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $891k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut	$17.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Turn-Based StrategyAdventure
Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden 2018	Est. copies ≈ 625k–1.0M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.9M before Steam's cut	$34.99	21k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRPG
Dead Age 2016	Est. copies ≈ 233k–379k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $962k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$4.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	6k reviews Very Positive	RPGZombies
Wartales 2023	Est. copies ≈ 899k–1.5M 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.7M–$35.8M before Steam's cut	$34.99	36k reviews Very Positive	RPGOpen World
NEO Scavenger 2014	Est. copies ≈ 304k–494k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	5k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalPost-apocalyptic
HUMANKIND™ 2021	Est. copies ≈ 715k–1.2M 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.8M–$26.4M after Steam's cut $17.9M–$40.7M before Steam's cut	$49.99	29k reviews Mixed	StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Wasteland 2: Director's Cut 2014	Est. copies ≈ 454k–738k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	8k reviews Very Positive	RPGPost-apocalyptic