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How many copies did "Glow Ball" - The billiard puzzle game sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–11k
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut
from 141 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid "Glow Ball" - The billiard puzzle game and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including "Glow Ball" - The billiard puzzle game's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9k–16k
best case 647k (Zup! S)
Games like "Glow Ball" - The billiard puzzle game

A typical game among these

≈ 9k–16k copies

≈ $23k–$33k after Steam's cut

from ~248 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Zup! S at ≈ 493k–801k copies, ≈ $270k–$725k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 111 reviews in their first month; the range was 42 to 158.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Logic (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle, priced around $13. The breakout hits carry Exploration + Physics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Project Chemistry
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$20k–$54k after Steam's cut $37k–$84k before Steam's cut
$12.99
228 reviews
Mostly Positive
ScienceEducation
Evergarden
2018
Est. copies
≈ 23k–38k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$64k–$173k after Steam's cut $117k–$266k before Steam's cut
$9.99
770 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleStrategy
Zup! S
2018
Est. copies
≈ 493k–801k
66x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$270k–$725k after Steam's cut $491k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$1.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleCasual
The Prism
2015
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$17k–$45k after Steam's cut $31k–$70k before Steam's cut
$4.99
252 reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyIndie
Paper Beast
2020
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$97k–$261k after Steam's cut $176k–$402k before Steam's cut
$19.99
712 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureExploration
Filament
2020
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$88k–$238k after Steam's cut $161k–$366k before Steam's cut
$16.99
763 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleDifficult
NecroWorm
2017
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$16k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$67k before Steam's cut
$4.99
345 reviews
Mixed
LogicPuzzle
Sandmade
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$0.99
243 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleLogic

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.