How much revenue did Evergarden make?

$64k–$173k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Evergarden sell?

Q: How many copies did Evergarden sell?

23k to 38k copies, based on its 770 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 23k–38k; $64k–$173k after Steam's cut $117k–$266k before Steam's cut; from 770 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Evergarden and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Evergarden's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.3M–7.1M

best case 12.2M (Hogwarts Legacy)

Games like Evergarden

A typical game among these

≈ 3.3M–7.1M copies

≈ $40.2M–$99.9M after Steam's cut

from ~132k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hogwarts Legacy at ≈ 9.3M–15.1M copies, ≈ $153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 43k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 171k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Exploration (5 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Magic + Open World, priced around $60.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Hogwarts Legacy 2023	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut $278.6M–$633.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	375k reviews Very Positive	MagicOpen World
The Talos Principle 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	33k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzlePhilosophical
Stray 2022	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.2M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $36.6M–$98.3M after Steam's cut $66.5M–$151.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	179k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CatsAdventure
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	176k reviews Very Positive	Action-AdventureSouls-like
Shadow of the Tomb Raider: Definitive Edition 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $29.6M–$79.6M after Steam's cut $53.8M–$122.4M before Steam's cut	$39.99	89k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction
Atomic Heart 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $22.9M–$61.6M after Steam's cut $41.7M–$94.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	56k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentFPS
Rise of the Tomb Raider™ 2016	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $53.7M–$144.2M after Steam's cut $97.5M–$221.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	156k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction
Outer Wilds 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut $33.6M–$76.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	108k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ExplorationSpace