How much revenue did Project Chemistry make?

$20k–$54k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Project Chemistry sell?

Q: How many copies did Project Chemistry sell?

6k to 9k copies, based on its 228 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 6k–9k; $20k–$54k after Steam's cut $37k–$84k before Steam's cut; from 228 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Project Chemistry and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Project Chemistry's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 44k–76k

best case 1.2M (Automation - The Car Company Tycoon Game)

Games like Project Chemistry

A typical game among these

≈ 44k–76k copies

≈ $305k–$527k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Automation - The Car Company Tycoon Game at ≈ 882k–1.4M copies, ≈ $7.3M–$19.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 477 reviews in their first month; the range was 271 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sandbox (6 of 8) and Simulation (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Early Access + Immersive Sim + Realistic; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Sand:box 2023	Est. copies ≈ 44k–71k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $24k–$64k after Steam's cut $44k–$99k before Steam's cut	$1.99	2k reviews Very Positive	SandboxPixel Graphics
Eco 2018	Est. copies ≈ 428k–696k 8.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.5M–$9.5M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessSimulation
Liftoff®: FPV Drone Racing 2018	Est. copies ≈ 429k–697k 8.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	14k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationFlight
Main Assembly 2021	Est. copies ≈ 34k–55k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $185k–$496k after Steam's cut $336k–$764k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Very Positive	3DOnline Co-Op
Imagine Earth 2021	Est. copies ≈ 24k–39k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $165k–$444k after Steam's cut $301k–$684k before Steam's cut	$24.99	970 reviews Very Positive	3DColony Sim
Juno: New Origins 2023	Est. copies ≈ 88k–143k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $485k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $882k–$2.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	BuildingScience
Automation - The Car Company Tycoon Game 2015	Est. copies ≈ 882k–1.4M 10x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.3M–$19.6M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	18k reviews Very Positive	Simulation Management
The Sapling 2019	Est. copies ≈ 58k–94k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $286k–$768k after Steam's cut $520k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$17.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Life SimSandbox