How much revenue did Sand:box make?

$24k–$64k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Sand:box sell?

Q: How many copies did Sand:box sell?

44k to 71k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 44k–71k; $24k–$64k after Steam's cut $44k–$99k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sand:box and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sand:box's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.2M–10.5M

best case 57.1M (Stardew Valley)

Games like Sand:box

A typical game among these

≈ 2.2M–10.5M copies

≈ $17.3M–$111.5M after Steam's cut

from ~163k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Stardew Valley at ≈ 43.5M–70.7M copies, ≈ $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 28k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 86k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sandbox (7 of 8) and Simulation (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Life Sim, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Factorio 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut $102.5M–$233.1M before Steam's cut	$35.00	236k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationBase-Building
Graveyard Keeper 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.4M–$25.2M after Steam's cut $17.1M–$38.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	56k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsCrafting
RimWorld 2018	Est. copies ≈ 7.6M–12.3M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut	$34.99	249k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building
People Playground 2019	Est. copies ≈ 9.2M–15.0M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	321k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxGore
Stardew Valley 2016	Est. copies ≈ 43.5M–70.7M 6.4x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut $326.2M–$742.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Farming SimPixel Graphics
Noita 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PhysicsRogue-like
Core Keeper 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.3M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	68k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsOpen World Survival Craft
WorldBox - God Simulator 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.8M–$20.9M after Steam's cut $14.1M–$32.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	57k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxGod Game