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How many copies did WARSHIFT sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 29k–47k
$80k–$214k after Steam's cut $145k–$329k before Steam's cut
from 697 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid WARSHIFT and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including WARSHIFT's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–2.1M
best case 37.9M (HELLDIVERS™ 2)
Games like WARSHIFT

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–2.1M copies

≈ $3k–$43.2M after Steam's cut

from ~888 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: HELLDIVERS™ 2 at ≈ 28.9M–46.9M copies, ≈ $317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 37 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 251k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Third-Person Shooter (5 of 8) and RTS (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter + Shooter, priced around $40.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

HELLDIVERS™ 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 28.9M–46.9M
1311x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut $577.5M–$1313.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1.2M reviews
Mostly Positive
Online Co-OpPvE
Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.2M
256x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$93.0M–$250.0M after Steam's cut $169.0M–$384.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
227k reviews
Very Positive
Warhammer 40KAction
Halo: Spartan Assault
2014
Est. copies
≈ 277k–449k
5.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$227k–$611k after Steam's cut $413k–$941k before Steam's cut
$2.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionTop-Down Shooter
Halo: Spartan Strike
2015
Est. copies
≈ 84k–136k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$69k–$185k after Steam's cut $125k–$284k before Steam's cut
$2.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionTop-Down Shooter
Tactical Command
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
$7.99
43 reviews
Positive
StrategyRTS
Project Hacker
2021
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$110 after Steam's cut $74–$169 before Steam's cut
$1.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
ActionCasual
Tactical Warfare
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$17k before Steam's cut
$9.99
62 reviews
Mixed
StrategyRTS
Stars And Empires: Colony Defense
2024
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$103–$273 after Steam's cut $187–$420 before Steam's cut
$14.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
Shoot 'Em UpThird-Person Shooter

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