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How many copies did The Guild II Renaissance sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 268k–436k
$737k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Guild II Renaissance and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Guild II Renaissance's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 871k–2.9M
best case 4.9M (Prison Architect)
Games like The Guild II Renaissance

A typical game among these

≈ 871k–2.9M copies

≈ $10.9M–$27.7M after Steam's cut

from ~32k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Prison Architect at ≈ 3.8M–6.1M copies, ≈ $31.0M–$83.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 17k reviews in their first month; the range was 16k to 18k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share City Builder (8 of 8) and Simulation (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Building, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Prison Architect
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.1M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$31.0M–$83.3M after Steam's cut $56.3M–$128.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
77k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationBuilding
Northgard: Definitive Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.1M–$54.1M after Steam's cut $36.6M–$83.2M before Steam's cut
$34.99
69k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Foundation
2025
Est. copies
≈ 608k–988k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.7M after Steam's cut $10.6M–$24.2M before Steam's cut
$34.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
Kingdoms and Castles
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
Dwarf Fortress
2022
Est. copies
≈ 783k–1.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.5M–$17.4M after Steam's cut $11.7M–$26.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
DwarfColony Sim
Banished
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.3M–$35.9M after Steam's cut $24.3M–$55.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
Dawn of Man
2019
Est. copies
≈ 514k–836k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.5M–$9.5M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
Workers & Resources: Soviet Republic
2024
Est. copies
≈ 682k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.2M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$31.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation

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