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How many copies did Nation Red sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 176k–287k
$145k–$390k after Steam's cut $264k–$600k before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nation Red and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nation Red's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 23k–71k
best case 88.0M (Left 4 Dead 2)
Games like Nation Red

A typical game among these

≈ 23k–71k copies

≈ $98k–$355k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Left 4 Dead 2 at ≈ 67.0M–108.9M copies, ≈ $184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 36 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Survival (8 of 8) and Zombies (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Co-op, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Co-op + Multiplayer + FPS; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Last Stand: Aftermath
2021
Est. copies
≈ 169k–275k
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesSurvival
VERSUS SQUAD
2016
Est. copies
≈ 24k–39k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$53k–$143k after Steam's cut $97k–$220k before Steam's cut
$7.99
583 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionGore
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 67.0M–108.9M
860x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut $334.7M–$761.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
Project Zomboid
2013
Est. copies
≈ 30.5M–49.6M
392x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$209.9M–$564.4M after Steam's cut $381.6M–$868.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
483k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
Tunguska: The Visitation - Final Cut
2021
Est. copies
≈ 47k–76k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$193k–$518k after Steam's cut $350k–$796k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticSurvival
FALL
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
$4.99
159 reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesPost-apocalyptic
FatalZone
2024
Est. copies
≈ 56k–92k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$109k–$292k after Steam's cut $197k–$449k before Steam's cut
$6.99
2k reviews
Mixed
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Zombie Builder Defense
2018
Est. copies
≈ 16k–25k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
513 reviews
Mixed
ActionZombies

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