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How many copies did FALL sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–6k
$5k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
from 159 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid FALL and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including FALL's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 856k–1.8M
best case 5.7M (Left 4 Dead)
Games like FALL

A typical game among these

≈ 856k–1.8M copies

≈ $6.4M–$17.5M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Left 4 Dead at ≈ 4.3M–7.0M copies, ≈ $11.9M–$31.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Zombies (6 of 8) and Female Protagonist (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Co-op, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Left 4 Dead
2008
Est. copies
≈ 4.3M–7.0M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$11.9M–$31.9M after Steam's cut $21.5M–$49.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
68k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
Sunset Overdrive
2018
Est. copies
≈ 441k–717k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Zombie Army Trilogy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 918k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.4M–$30.5M after Steam's cut $20.7M–$47.0M before Steam's cut
$44.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesAction
State of Decay: YOSE
2015
Est. copies
≈ 644k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.5M–$9.5M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesSurvival
The Walking Dead: Season Two
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesAdventure
ENDER LILIES: Quietus of the Knights
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.9M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaFemale Protagonist
The Walking Dead: The Final Season
2018
Est. copies
≈ 655k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.5M–$14.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichChoices Matter
The Walking Dead: A New Frontier
2016
Est. copies
≈ 775k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesStory Rich

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