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How many copies did Conquest of Elysium 4 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 28k–45k
$190k–$511k after Steam's cut $346k–$787k before Steam's cut
from 567 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Conquest of Elysium 4 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Conquest of Elysium 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–2.0M
best case 9.3M (Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition)
Games like Conquest of Elysium 4

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–2.0M copies

≈ $9.3M–$32.8M after Steam's cut

from ~32k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition at ≈ 7.1M–11.5M copies, ≈ $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fantasy (7 of 8) and Turn-Based (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Fantasy, priced around $52. The breakout hits carry Turn-Based Strategy + CRPG + Exploration; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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≈ 1.3M–2.2M
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RPGOnline Co-Op
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
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≈ 7.1M–11.5M
6.5x vs typical
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≈ 2.2M–3.5M
1.6x vs typical
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≈ 1.2M–2.0M
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StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
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2017
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≈ 4.2M–6.8M
3.8x vs typical
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≈ 454k–737k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
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Divinity: Original Sin - Enhanced Edition
2015
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≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$17.8M–$47.8M after Steam's cut $32.3M–$73.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
RPGTurn-Based

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