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How many copies did Bitardia sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 21k–33k
$34k–$91k after Steam's cut $61k–$140k before Steam's cut
from 828 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bitardia and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bitardia's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 204k–463k
best case 7.6M (Far Cry® 5)
Games like Bitardia

A typical game among these

≈ 204k–463k copies

≈ $1.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action-Adventure (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Far Cry® 5 at ≈ 5.8M–9.4M copies, ≈ $95.1M–$255.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 540 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action-Adventure (4 of 8) and Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Action-Adventure, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Co-op + FPS; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Est. copies
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2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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MemesCats
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Far Cry® 5
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.8M–9.4M
25x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$59.99
190k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction-Adventure
Owlboy
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Est. copies
≈ 255k–415k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Vampyr
2018
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≈ 772k–1.3M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$8.5M–$22.8M after Steam's cut $15.4M–$35.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
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VampireRPG
Sonic Forces
2017
Est. copies
≈ 298k–485k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
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Mixed
Great Soundtrack3D Platformer

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