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How many copies did BioShock™ 2 Remastered sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
$6.9M–$18.7M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.7M before Steam's cut
from 30k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BioShock™ 2 Remastered and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including BioShock™ 2 Remastered's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 38.5M–66.9M
best case 99.7M (Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege)
Games like BioShock™ 2 Remastered

A typical game among these

≈ 38.5M–66.9M copies

≈ $147.3M–$478.8M after Steam's cut

from ~1.0M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege at ≈ 76.0M–123.4M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (3 of 4) and Animation & Modeling (1 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Tactical.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 76.0M–123.4M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.6M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
Cyberpunk 2077
2020
Est. copies
≈ 24.4M–39.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut $730.9M–$1662.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
983k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkOpen World
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
PAYDAY 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.7M–69.3M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
675k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAction

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