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How many copies did Bleeding Border sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 11k–18k
$15k–$42k after Steam's cut $28k–$64k before Steam's cut
from 231 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bleeding Border and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bleeding Border's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 423–1k
best case 1k (Old Retro Shooter)
Games like Bleeding Border

A typical game among these

≈ 423–1k copies

≈ $2k–$77k after Steam's cut

from ~22 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Old Retro Shooter at ≈ 1k–2k copies, ≈ $61k–$165k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 19.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (6 of 8) and Choose Your Own Adventure (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Choose Your Own Adventure, priced around $200.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.